RealPnL
DEMO Binance account / since start -0.46% / 4 open / last trade: TRIM SOL long · -0.10% 8 h ago / updated 08:55 UTC

Research ·

Does the profit lock need to react in minutes? We replayed it on 5-minute candles.

In six years, positions reached +100% 14 times. Checking every 5 minutes instead of every 4 hours changed nothing: same 3 exits, same returns to 0.01%.

The bot's profit lock moves a stop up once a position has doubled. But the bot only looks every four hours. What if a coin doubles in the first thirty minutes and crashes before the bot looks again?

A 4-hour candle can't answer that: it tells you the high and the low, not which came first. So we fetched the real Binance 5-minute candles for every 4-hour window where a held position came near +100%, 23 windows in all, and replayed them five minutes at a time.

The result

2021 – Sep 2026Lock checked every 4 h (live)Lock checked every 5 min
Return per year45.73%45.73%
Sharpe ratio1.6681.668
Worst drop−18.51%−18.51%
Times a position reached +100%1414
Exits at the locked level33 (the same three)

Every year from 2021 to 2026 matches to within 0.01%.

Why no difference

Doubling is rare for these ten coins, and it happened over days or weeks, never in minutes. The 5-minute check did lock earlier, usually by a few hours and once by ten days (SOL, August 2021), but the price didn't turn sharply before the next 4-hour close in any of those cases.

The three trades that exited at the lock were all DOGE: +51% in January 2021, +20% in November 2022 and +54% in March 2024. They were identical in both versions.

So the lock stays on the 4-hour schedule. Checking every five minutes would add code and stop-order changes between cycles for no measured benefit. If the unlikely does happen, the regular 25% stop still protects the position.