RealPnL
BTC69,419.9-4.68%ETH1,962.8-2.88%SOL80.810-1.94%BNB640.60-3.48%XRP1.026-1.01%DOGE0.06545-1.52%ADA0.17200+0.12%LINK10.005+0.21%AVAX8.430-0.38%DOT0.83110-0.34%Binance perpetuals, 12:11 UTC

Track record

Both accounts are rebuilt from the bot's logs every 10 minutes. No trade is excluded, returns are not smoothed, and neither account has been reset since both started on 27 September 2026.

Live record. Since 27 September 2026, the Binance DEMO account is down 11.27% and the Hyperliquid PAPER account is down 11.50% (as of 13 Nov 2026, 12:10 UTC). Both accounts trade simulated money, not live funds. On each account, 1 of 21 completed round trips in profit. The Binance account reached a pre-set retire limit on 04 November 2026 and opens no new trades until the owner decides. The Hyperliquid account reached a pre-set retire limit on 04 November 2026 and opens no new trades until the owner decides. The review of 29 October replayed the rules over 27 September to 29 October for the Binance DEMO and Hyperliquid PAPER accounts and got the same trades, so the loss over those weeks came from the strategy in that market, not from execution. A record of about 2 months is too short to confirm or reject the strategy. Next scheduled review: 26 November 2026. Decision of 31 October and retire limits

AccountSinceAs of (UTC)Return since startMax DDTradesOpen
Binance DEMO27 Sep 202613 Nov 12:10-11.27%-11.5%670
Hyperliquid PAPER27 Sep 202613 Nov 12:10-11.50%-11.8%680

DEMO: Binance Demo Trading, with the exchange's own order handling and simulated capital. Fill prices and slippage come from the demo order book. PAPER: fills simulated at live Hyperliquid prices, with funding charged; every paper fill is charged as a taker (Hyperliquid fee plus 0.02% slippage) and maker fills are never simulated. LIVE will mark real capital; no live account is open yet. Returns are percentages of account equity.

Positions opened and closed

Counted from each account's fill log. A position is in profit if its realised plus unrealised P&L is above zero; partial reductions are counted separately.

AccountOpenedRound trips closedStill openExits incl. trims, in profit
In profitAt a lossIn profitAt a loss
Binance DEMO21120002 of 36
Hyperliquid PAPER21120002 of 37

Completed round trips, each position from its opening fill to its final exit with partial reductions credited to it: Binance 21, 1 in profit; Hyperliquid 21, 1 in profit. Exits including partial reductions (trims) are shown last as a secondary count; trims of one position are not independent outcomes.

Since 27 Sep, BTC has moved -17.8%, within a 29.4% range from low to high. At the backtest's 24.3% annualised volatility, one standard deviation of return over 47 days is about ±8.8%; as of 13 Nov, 12:10 UTC the accounts stand at -11.27% (Binance) and -11.50% (Hyperliquid) since start.

Trend following takes small losses when an early move fades and earns most of its return from a minority of positions that catch a sustained move. In the backtest, about four months in ten lost money. A record of a few weeks cannot separate skill from noise in either direction.

Binance DEMO

Binance Demo Trading: Binance's matching engine and order handling, simulated capital. Fill prices and slippage come from the demo order book. Copy trading is closed; it will not open before the live record covers at least 90 days and passes its review. Since 27 Sep 2026, 04:00 UTC. No public exchange page yet.

Return since start, as of 13 Nov 12:10 UTC
-11.27%
Max drawdown
-11.5%
Round trips closed, in profit
1 of 21
Exits incl. trims, in profit
2 of 36
Fills
67
Gross exposure
0.00×
-20.0%-10.0%0.0%+10.0%+20.0%+30.0%03 Oct09 Oct15 Oct21 Oct27 Oct02 Nov08 Nov-11.27%0%-11.5%-11.5%
Return since start, at each 4-hour close and the latest snapshotBacktest range of the same rule from a flat start, Jan 2021 to Sep 2026, 5th to 95th percentile; not a forecast25th to 75th percentileBacktest medianLower panel: drawdown from the running peak

At 13 Nov, 12:10 UTC, 47.3 days in, the return since start of -11.27% is at about the 2nd percentile of backtest windows of the same age (median +3.03%; 5th to 95th percentile -8.2% to +25.4%). Return since a flat start of the live rule, net of 0.07% per unit traded and Binance's historical funding, at each 4-hour close. 2,088 overlapping windows, one starting each day from 2021-01-01 to 2026-09-19; each bar uses every window long enough to reach it. Hypothetical.

Swarm TrendDEMO
Updated 13 Nov, 12:10 UTC
Equity
4,436.13 USDT
Unrealized PNL
+0.00
Margin in use
0.00
Exposure
0.00× equity
Return since start
-11.27%
SymbolSizeValue (USDT)Entry priceMark priceMarginPNL (USDT)TP / SL
No open positions
SymbolTypeSideTriggerAmountReduce only
No open orders
Time (UTC)SymbolSidePriceQuantityRealized PNLRole
05 Nov 00:00SOLUSDTBuyclose95.69010.89+14.05Taker
04 Nov 16:00XRPUSDTBuyclose1.317926-66.58Taker
04 Nov 16:00ETHUSDTBuyclose2,425.60.511-88.06Taker
04 Nov 16:00DOGEUSDTBuyclose0.0772215,919-33.49Taker
02 Nov 20:01DOGEUSDTSelladd0.073674,742—Taker
30 Oct 12:01DOGEUSDTSellopen0.0757311,177—Taker
30 Oct 08:01SOLUSDTSellopen96.98010.89—Taker
30 Oct 04:01XRPUSDTSellopen1.245926—Taker
30 Oct 00:01ETHUSDTSellopen2,253.20.511—Taker
29 Oct 16:00ETHUSDTBuyclose2,368.30.507-30.73Taker
29 Oct 16:00ADAUSDTBuyclose0.206305,242-46.65Taker
29 Oct 08:00ADAUSDTSellopen0.197405,242—Taker

Binance Demo Trading: exchange matching and order handling, simulated capital. Fill prices and slippage come from the demo order book. Cross margin, leverage set to 5×. At the exposure shown, no position is close to a liquidation price. A stop order rests on the exchange for each position.

Position history

Every position from its opening fill to its final exit. Realised P&L is before fees; unrealised is at the current mark.

PositionOpened (UTC)Closed (UTC)AddsTrimsRealised (USDT)UnrealisedTotalStatus
BTC long27 Sep 06:4507 Oct 12:0023-12.27—-12.27-0.25% of accountClosed at a loss
ETH long27 Sep 08:0003 Oct 00:0024-21.71—-21.71-0.43% of accountClosed at a loss
BNB long27 Sep 12:0028 Sep 16:0101-14.59—-14.59-0.29% of accountClosed at a loss
SOL long27 Sep 16:0007 Oct 04:0011-19.19—-19.19-0.38% of accountClosed at a loss
LINK long28 Sep 16:0206 Oct 00:0022-28.45—-28.45-0.57% of accountClosed at a loss
AVAX long03 Oct 00:0008 Oct 16:0022-20.00—-20.00-0.40% of accountClosed at a loss
ADA long06 Oct 00:0108 Oct 16:0000-64.88—-64.88-1.30% of accountClosed at a loss
DOT long10 Oct 08:0113 Oct 20:0001-23.01—-23.01-0.46% of accountClosed at a loss
XRP short24 Oct 08:0025 Oct 00:0000-11.75—-11.75-0.24% of accountClosed at a loss
DOGE short24 Oct 12:0025 Oct 00:0000-1.66—-1.66-0.03% of accountClosed at a loss
DOGE short25 Oct 08:0127 Oct 20:0000-18.78—-18.78-0.38% of accountClosed at a loss
XRP short26 Oct 00:0027 Oct 20:0001-20.11—-20.11-0.40% of accountClosed at a loss
ADA short26 Oct 04:0127 Oct 20:0000-14.93—-14.93-0.30% of accountClosed at a loss
ETH short26 Oct 12:0128 Oct 08:0000-10.46—-10.46-0.21% of accountClosed at a loss
ETH short28 Oct 16:0128 Oct 20:0000-18.22—-18.22-0.36% of accountClosed at a loss
ETH short29 Oct 04:0129 Oct 16:0000-30.73—-30.73-0.61% of accountClosed at a loss
ADA short29 Oct 08:0029 Oct 16:0000-46.65—-46.65-0.93% of accountClosed at a loss
ETH short30 Oct 00:0104 Nov 16:0000-88.06—-88.06-1.76% of accountClosed at a loss
XRP short30 Oct 04:0104 Nov 16:0000-66.58—-66.58-1.33% of accountClosed at a loss
SOL short30 Oct 08:0105 Nov 00:0000+14.05—+14.05+0.28% of accountClosed in profit
DOGE short30 Oct 12:0104 Nov 16:0010-33.49—-33.49-0.67% of accountClosed at a loss

Monthly returns

MonthReturn
September 2026-1.19%
October 2026-6.45%
November 2026-4.00%

Trade log

Newest first. Realised P&L is shown on exits only, as a percentage of equity at the time of the exit, before fees.

Time (UTC)CoinActionPriceMove vs entryP&L (% of account)
05 Nov 00:00SOLclose short95.690+1.3%+0.32%
04 Nov 16:00XRPclose short1.317-5.8%-1.50%
04 Nov 16:00ETHclose short2,425.6-7.6%-1.99%
04 Nov 16:00DOGEclose short0.07722-2.8%-0.76%
02 Nov 20:01DOGEadd short0.07367——
30 Oct 12:01DOGEopen short0.07573——
30 Oct 08:01SOLopen short96.980——
30 Oct 04:01XRPopen short1.245——
30 Oct 00:01ETHopen short2,253.2——
29 Oct 16:00ETHclose short2,368.3-2.6%-0.67%
29 Oct 16:00ADAclose short0.20630-4.5%-1.01%
29 Oct 08:00ADAopen short0.19740——
29 Oct 04:01ETHopen short2,307.7——
28 Oct 20:00ETHclose short2,370.7-1.5%-0.39%
28 Oct 16:01ETHopen short2,334.6——
28 Oct 08:00ETHclose short2,360.2-1.3%-0.22%
27 Oct 20:00XRPclose short1.324-2.2%-0.32%
27 Oct 20:00DOGEclose short0.07839-1.9%-0.40%
27 Oct 20:00ADAclose short0.20520-2.1%-0.32%
27 Oct 00:00XRPtrim short1.309-1.0%-0.10%
26 Oct 12:01ETHopen short2,329.5——
26 Oct 04:01ADAopen short0.20090——
26 Oct 00:00XRPopen short1.296——
25 Oct 08:01DOGEopen short0.07690——
25 Oct 00:00XRPclose short1.299-1.1%-0.25%
25 Oct 00:00DOGEclose short0.07762-0.2%-0.03%
24 Oct 12:00DOGEopen short0.07748——
24 Oct 08:00XRPopen short1.284——
13 Oct 20:00DOTclose long1.173-6.0%-0.32%
13 Oct 00:00DOTtrim long1.166-6.5%-0.16%
10 Oct 08:01DOTopen long1.249——
08 Oct 16:00AVAXclose long9.966-9.4%-0.41%
08 Oct 16:00ADAclose long0.23060-14.8%-1.35%
08 Oct 04:00AVAXtrim long10.970-0.3%0.00%
07 Oct 16:00AVAXadd long11.235——
07 Oct 12:00BTCclose long83,536.3-1.7%-0.22%
07 Oct 04:00SOLclose long118.03-2.6%-0.30%
07 Oct 00:00BTCtrim long85,472.4+0.6%+0.05%
06 Oct 00:01ADAopen long0.27080——
06 Oct 00:00LINKclose long13.840-3.4%-0.20%
05 Oct 16:00LINKtrim long13.769-3.9%-0.14%
05 Oct 16:00AVAXtrim long10.838-0.2%0.00%
05 Oct 12:01BTCadd long86,249.8——
05 Oct 08:00AVAXadd long11.061——
05 Oct 04:00SOLadd long120.36——
05 Oct 00:00LINKadd long14.262——
04 Oct 16:01LINKadd long14.177——
04 Oct 08:01BTCadd long85,167.6——
03 Oct 00:00AVAXopen long10.792——
03 Oct 00:00ETHclose long2,663.8-1.7%-0.12%
02 Oct 20:00LINKtrim long13.565-6.1%-0.24%
02 Oct 20:00ETHtrim long2,664.6-1.6%-0.06%
01 Oct 12:00ETHadd long2,707.1——
01 Oct 08:00ETHtrim long2,674.6-1.3%-0.06%
01 Oct 04:01ETHadd long2,698.1——
29 Sep 00:01SOLtrim long118.58-2.6%-0.10%
28 Sep 16:02LINKopen long14.449——
28 Sep 16:02BTCtrim long83,253.6-1.4%-0.08%
28 Sep 16:01BNBclose long762.10-2.3%-0.21%
28 Sep 12:01ETHtrim long2,662.1-2.0%-0.11%
28 Sep 04:00BNBtrim long770.91-1.2%-0.08%
27 Sep 16:00SOLopen long121.70——
27 Sep 16:00ETHtrim long2,688.8-1.0%-0.09%
27 Sep 16:00BTCtrim long84,420.8-0.1%-0.01%
27 Sep 12:00BNBopen long780.11——
27 Sep 08:00ETHopen long2,717.3——
27 Sep 06:45BTCopen long84,472.3——

Hyperliquid PAPER

Simulated fills at live Hyperliquid prices, with hourly funding charged. No orders are sent. Every paper fill is charged as a taker (Hyperliquid fee plus 0.02% slippage); maker fills are never simulated. Since 27 Sep 2026, 04:00 UTC. No public exchange page yet.

Return since start, as of 13 Nov 12:10 UTC
-11.50%
Max drawdown
-11.8%
Round trips closed, in profit
1 of 21
Exits incl. trims, in profit
2 of 37
Fills
68
Gross exposure
0.00×
-20.0%-10.0%0.0%+10.0%+20.0%+30.0%03 Oct09 Oct15 Oct21 Oct27 Oct02 Nov08 Nov-11.50%0%-11.8%-11.8%
Return since start, at each 4-hour close and the latest snapshotBacktest range of the same rule from a flat start, Jan 2021 to Sep 2026, 5th to 95th percentile; not a forecast25th to 75th percentileBacktest medianLower panel: drawdown from the running peak

At 13 Nov, 12:10 UTC, 47.3 days in, the return since start of -11.50% is at about the 1st percentile of backtest windows of the same age (median +3.03%; 5th to 95th percentile -8.2% to +25.4%). Return since a flat start of the live rule, net of 0.07% per unit traded and Binance's historical funding, at each 4-hour close. 2,088 overlapping windows, one starting each day from 2021-01-01 to 2026-09-19; each bar uses every window long enough to reach it. Hypothetical.

Swarm TrendPAPER
Updated 13 Nov, 12:10 UTC
Equity
8,849.84 USDT
Unrealized PNL
+0.00
Margin in use
0.00
Exposure
0.00× equity
Return since start
-11.50%
SymbolSizeValue (USDT)Entry priceMark priceMarginPNL (USDT)TP / SL
No open positions
SymbolTypeSideTriggerAmountReduce only
No open orders
Time (UTC)SymbolSidePriceQuantityRealized PNLRole
05 Nov 00:00SOLUSDTBuyclose95.60521.77+33.23Taker
04 Nov 16:00XRPUSDTBuyclose1.3191,851-139.40Taker
04 Nov 16:00ETHUSDTBuyclose2,431.01.0227-185.15Taker
04 Nov 16:00DOGEUSDTBuyclose0.0775631,830-76.27Taker
02 Nov 20:01DOGEUSDTSelladd0.073799,481—Taker
30 Oct 12:01DOGEUSDTSellopen0.0757522,349—Taker
30 Oct 08:01SOLUSDTSellopen97.13221.77—Taker
30 Oct 04:01XRPUSDTSellopen1.2441,851—Taker
30 Oct 00:00ETHUSDTSellopen2,249.91.0227—Taker
29 Oct 16:00ETHUSDTBuyclose2,369.61.0156-64.63Taker
29 Oct 16:00ADAUSDTBuyclose0.2065210,485-94.16Taker
29 Oct 08:00ADAUSDTSellopen0.1975410,485—Taker

Paper account: fills simulated at live Hyperliquid prices, with hourly funding charged. Every paper fill is charged as a taker (Hyperliquid fee plus 0.02% slippage); maker fills are never simulated. Cross margin, leverage set to 5×. At the exposure shown, no position is close to a liquidation price. A stop order rests on the exchange for each position.

Position history

Every position from its opening fill to its final exit. Realised P&L is before fees; unrealised is at the current mark.

PositionOpened (UTC)Closed (UTC)AddsTrimsRealised (USDT)UnrealisedTotalStatus
BTC long27 Sep 05:4707 Oct 12:0023-25.98—-25.98-0.26% of accountClosed at a loss
ETH long27 Sep 08:0003 Oct 00:0024-41.59—-41.59-0.42% of accountClosed at a loss
BNB long27 Sep 12:0028 Sep 16:0101-29.97—-29.97-0.30% of accountClosed at a loss
SOL long27 Sep 16:0007 Oct 04:0011-32.40—-32.40-0.32% of accountClosed at a loss
LINK long28 Sep 16:0207 Oct 04:0023-53.56—-53.56-0.54% of accountClosed at a loss
AVAX long03 Oct 00:0108 Oct 16:0022-39.00—-39.00-0.39% of accountClosed at a loss
ADA long06 Oct 00:0108 Oct 16:0000-127.27—-127.27-1.27% of accountClosed at a loss
DOT long10 Oct 08:0113 Oct 20:0001-44.54—-44.54-0.45% of accountClosed at a loss
XRP short24 Oct 08:0025 Oct 00:0000-22.75—-22.75-0.23% of accountClosed at a loss
DOGE short24 Oct 12:0025 Oct 00:0000-3.89—-3.89-0.04% of accountClosed at a loss
DOGE short25 Oct 08:0127 Oct 20:0000-38.48—-38.48-0.38% of accountClosed at a loss
XRP short26 Oct 00:0127 Oct 20:0001-41.42—-41.42-0.41% of accountClosed at a loss
ADA short26 Oct 04:0127 Oct 20:0000-28.04—-28.04-0.28% of accountClosed at a loss
ETH short26 Oct 12:0128 Oct 08:0000-22.63—-22.63-0.23% of accountClosed at a loss
ETH short28 Oct 16:0128 Oct 20:0000-40.90—-40.90-0.41% of accountClosed at a loss
ETH short29 Oct 04:0029 Oct 16:0000-64.63—-64.63-0.65% of accountClosed at a loss
ADA short29 Oct 08:0029 Oct 16:0000-94.16—-94.16-0.94% of accountClosed at a loss
ETH short30 Oct 00:0004 Nov 16:0000-185.15—-185.15-1.85% of accountClosed at a loss
XRP short30 Oct 04:0104 Nov 16:0000-139.40—-139.40-1.39% of accountClosed at a loss
SOL short30 Oct 08:0105 Nov 00:0000+33.23—+33.23+0.33% of accountClosed in profit
DOGE short30 Oct 12:0104 Nov 16:0010-76.27—-76.27-0.76% of accountClosed at a loss

Monthly returns

MonthReturn
September 2026-1.24%
October 2026-6.45%
November 2026-4.21%

Trade log

Newest first. Realised P&L is shown on exits only, as a percentage of equity at the time of the exit, before fees.

Time (UTC)CoinActionPriceMove vs entryP&L (% of account)
05 Nov 00:00SOLclose short95.605+1.6%+0.38%
04 Nov 16:00XRPclose short1.319-6.1%-1.58%
04 Nov 16:00ETHclose short2,431.0-8.0%-2.10%
04 Nov 16:00DOGEclose short0.07756-3.2%-0.86%
02 Nov 20:01DOGEadd short0.07379——
30 Oct 12:01DOGEopen short0.07575——
30 Oct 08:01SOLopen short97.132——
30 Oct 04:01XRPopen short1.244——
30 Oct 00:00ETHopen short2,249.9——
29 Oct 16:00ETHclose short2,369.6-2.8%-0.70%
29 Oct 16:00ADAclose short0.20652-4.5%-1.02%
29 Oct 08:00ADAopen short0.19754——
29 Oct 04:00ETHopen short2,305.9——
28 Oct 20:00ETHclose short2,374.0-1.7%-0.44%
28 Oct 16:01ETHopen short2,333.4——
28 Oct 08:00ETHclose short2,362.0-1.4%-0.24%
27 Oct 20:00XRPclose short1.324-2.2%-0.33%
27 Oct 20:00DOGEclose short0.07841-2.0%-0.41%
27 Oct 20:00ADAclose short0.20533-2.0%-0.30%
27 Oct 00:00XRPtrim short1.309-1.0%-0.11%
26 Oct 12:01ETHopen short2,328.9——
26 Oct 04:01ADAopen short0.20130——
26 Oct 00:01XRPopen short1.296——
25 Oct 08:01DOGEopen short0.07689——
25 Oct 00:00XRPclose short1.299-1.1%-0.24%
25 Oct 00:00DOGEclose short0.07763-0.2%-0.04%
24 Oct 12:00DOGEopen short0.07746——
24 Oct 08:00XRPopen short1.285——
13 Oct 20:00DOTclose long1.177-5.7%-0.31%
13 Oct 00:00DOTtrim long1.165-6.6%-0.16%
10 Oct 08:01DOTopen long1.248——
08 Oct 16:00AVAXclose long9.998-9.2%-0.40%
08 Oct 16:00ADAclose long0.23174-14.4%-1.32%
08 Oct 04:00AVAXtrim long10.969-0.4%-0.01%
07 Oct 16:01AVAXadd long11.265——
07 Oct 12:00BTCclose long83,713.3-1.6%-0.23%
07 Oct 04:00SOLclose long118.12-2.5%-0.23%
07 Oct 04:00LINKclose long13.618-4.9%0.00%
06 Oct 00:01ADAopen long0.27060——
06 Oct 00:00LINKtrim long13.852-3.2%-0.19%
06 Oct 00:00BTCtrim long85,731.9+0.8%+0.05%
05 Oct 16:00LINKtrim long13.778-3.8%-0.14%
05 Oct 16:00AVAXtrim long10.845-0.1%0.00%
05 Oct 12:01BTCadd long86,177.2——
05 Oct 08:01AVAXadd long11.059——
05 Oct 00:01LINKadd long14.244——
04 Oct 16:01LINKadd long14.153——
03 Oct 20:01BTCadd long84,842.0——
03 Oct 00:01AVAXopen long10.787——
03 Oct 00:00ETHclose long2,667.0-1.6%-0.12%
02 Oct 20:00LINKtrim long13.582-5.8%-0.22%
02 Oct 20:00ETHtrim long2,668.2-1.5%-0.06%
01 Oct 12:01ETHadd long2,709.1——
01 Oct 08:00ETHtrim long2,679.8-1.1%-0.05%
01 Oct 04:02SOLadd long118.73——
01 Oct 04:01ETHadd long2,698.0——
29 Sep 00:01SOLtrim long118.68-2.6%-0.10%
28 Sep 16:02LINKopen long14.424——
28 Sep 16:02BTCtrim long83,327.3-1.4%-0.08%
28 Sep 16:01BNBclose long762.69-2.3%-0.21%
28 Sep 12:01ETHtrim long2,664.0-2.0%-0.10%
28 Sep 04:00BNBtrim long769.87-1.3%-0.10%
27 Sep 16:00SOLopen long121.80——
27 Sep 16:00ETHtrim long2,688.7-1.1%-0.09%
27 Sep 16:00BTCtrim long84,430.1-0.1%-0.01%
27 Sep 12:00BNBopen long780.40——
27 Sep 08:00ETHopen long2,717.5——
27 Sep 05:47BTCopen long84,548.9——